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Like the UK, the US is in the throes of a political maelstrom that could have broader consequences. Trump is at war with many factions – not just his enemies in Congress and the Senate (who include both moderate and extreme Republicans, as well as Democrats) – but with leading civil servants, entire government departments and, rumour has it, senior members of his own administration. He is severely constrained by the Washington infrastructure, by judicial processes and by civil society. At best his administration will simply fail to enact significant legislation – a mere matter of broken promises.

 

The president, however, still sets the tone for America’s interaction with the world. The international perception of American values and prestige is being undermined as a result of Trump’s excessive posturing for his domestic constituents. Where does this end? Without material policy successes at home, Trump will be more likely to jeopardise longstanding, diplomatic relations abroad in order to score a victory. God forbid he should need a major distraction.

 

Meanwhile, former allies are being variously bullied, insulted or merely embarrassed. Trump’s abuse of London’s mayor following the London Bridge terrorist attack achieved all three of these. This works both ways: anti-Trump rhetoric has become a useful tactic for politicians abroad, who can inspire domestic support by invoking fear of the US (it’s hard to believe that these words now apply to American allies as well as its enemies).